prikaz prve stranice dokumenta An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region
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master's thesis
An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region
2017. urn:nbn:hr:166:791856
Bralić, Ante
University of Split
Faculty of Science
Department of Physics

Cite this document

Bralić, A. (2017). An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region (Master's thesis). Split: University of Split, Faculty of Science. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:166:791856

Bralić, Ante. "An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region." Master's thesis, University of Split, Faculty of Science, 2017. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:166:791856

Bralić, Ante. "An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region." Master's thesis, University of Split, Faculty of Science, 2017. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:166:791856

Bralić, A. (2017). 'An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region', Master's thesis, University of Split, Faculty of Science, accessed 08 January 2025, https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:166:791856

Bralić A. An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region [Master's thesis]. Split: University of Split, Faculty of Science; 2017 [cited 2025 January 08] Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:166:791856

A. Bralić, "An evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region", Master's thesis, University of Split, Faculty of Science, Split, 2017. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:166:791856

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Metadata
TitleAn evaluation of regional climate models in deterministic and probabilistic modes for the Adriatic region
Title (croatian)Evaluacija regionalnih klimatskih modela u determinističkim i probabilističkim modovima za jadransko područje
AuthorAnte Bralić
MentorDarko Koračin (mentor)
Committee memberDarko Koračin (predsjednik povjerenstva)
Committee memberSanda Barkiđija (član povjerenstva)
Committee memberSlavko Radilović (član povjerenstva)
GranterUniversity of Split
Faculty of Science
(Department of Physics)
Split
Defense date and country2017-09-25, Croatia
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		NATURAL SCIENCES
Geophysics
Abstract
The goal of this reesearch is to evaluate simulation results produced by Regional Climate Models (RCMs) for the Adriatic region by comparing them with the Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service (DHMZ) measurement. The considered variable is the air temperature at 2m height (T2m). Research is conducted over two periods: historical and ERA-Interim/evaluation .There are 5 RCMs included in the analysis: CCLM4, RACMO22E, RCA4, REMO2009 and WRF331F. Statistical methods used for the analysis are Mann- Kendall test, Taylor diagram, Linear regression and Bias calculation. Each of these statistics is conducted using MATLAB® environment. Results appear to be somewhat inconclusive. Not a single model stands out as the most accurate. All models show an increasing warming trend which agrees with DHMZ measurements. The accuracy of a particular model largely varies depending on station and period.
Abstract (croatian)
Cilj ovog istraživanja je procijeniti rezultate simulacija regionalnih klimatskih modela (RCM) za jadransko područje uspoređujući ih s mjerenjima Državnog hidrometeorološkog zavoda (DHMZ). Razmatrana varijabla je temperatura zraka na 2m visine (T2m). Istraživanje se provodi kroz dva razdoblja: povijesno i ERAInterim/evaluacijsko. U analizu je uključeno pet regionalnih klimatskih modela: CCLM4, RACMO22E, RCA4, REMO2009 i WRF331F. Statističke metode koje se koriste za analizu su Mann-Kendallov test, Taylorov dijagram, linearna regresija i izračun pristranosti. Svaka od tih statistika provodi se pomoću MATLAB® programskog jezika. Rezultati su poprilično nedokučivi. Niti jedan model se ne ističe kao najtočniji. Svi modeli pokazuju rastući trend zagrijavanja koji se slaže s DHMZovim mjerenjima. Točnost određenog modela uvelike varira ovisno o postaji i vremenu.
Keywords
Keywords (croatian)
Languageenglish
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:166:791856
Study programmeTitle: Physics; specializations in: major in teaching, major in Astrophysics, major in Biophysics, major in Enviromental physics, major in Computational physics
Course: major in Enviromental physics
Study programme type: university
Study level: graduate
Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra fizike (magistar/magistra fizike)
Type of resourceText
File originBorn digital
Access conditionsAccess restricted to students and staff of home institution
Terms of useLicence In copyright icon
Created on2018-02-22 17:40:55